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Anguiano vs Arnedo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Garcia I.
61' Event
Heras J.
79' Event
Medrano

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Anguiano and Arnedo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anguiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Anguiano
30%
Draws
19%
Arnedo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Arnedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Anguiano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 68%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguiano Arnedo
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 15 19
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.4 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Arnedo
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Anguiano
0:0
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Arnedo
3:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Anguiano
0:1
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Anguiano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heras J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Medrano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguiano 95 / 100
Arnedo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguiano Arnedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anguiano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anguiano has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Anguiano's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arnedo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Anguiano VS Arnedo
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguiano

(Home)
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
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Arnedo

(Away)
20 Sept
Arnedo
0 : 1
Terrassa
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)