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Anguiano vs Arnedo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Garcia I.
61' Event
Heras J.
79' Event
Medrano

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Anguiano and Arnedo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anguiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Anguiano
30%
Draws
34%
Arnedo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Arnedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Anguiano are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 11%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguiano Arnedo
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 16 23
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.43 2
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Arnedo
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Anguiano
0:0
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Arnedo
3:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Anguiano
0:1
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Anguiano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heras J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Medrano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguiano 35 / 100
Arnedo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguiano Arnedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Anguiano scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Anguiano stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Arnedo let in goals in 56% of their last 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

Anguiano VS Arnedo
1.43 Goals Scored 2
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguiano

(Home)
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

Arnedo

(Away)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)