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Anguiano vs CDFC La Calzada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Fernandez I.

AI Match Summary

Anguiano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Anguiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Anguiano
30%
Draws
19%
CDFC La Calzada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CDFC La Calzada haven't matched Anguiano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Anguiano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 19%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguiano CDFC La Calzada
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs CDFC La Calzada
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Anguiano
1:4
Aug 14, 2024 Club Friendly
CDFC La Calzada vs Anguiano
1:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs CDFC La Calzada
6:2
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Anguiano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CDFC La Calzada Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguiano 85 / 100
CDFC La Calzada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguiano CDFC La Calzada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anguiano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Anguiano remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Anguiano found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

CDFC La Calzada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Anguiano VS CDFC La Calzada
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguiano

(Home)
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

CDFC La Calzada

(Away)
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1
Mirandes
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4
San Ignacio
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1
Pradejon
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
26 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 0
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)