Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Anguiano

4 - 2

Pena Balsamaiso

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Fernandez I.

45'

Fernandez I.

56'

Medrano A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Anguiano and Pena Balsamaiso finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anguiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Anguiano

Draws

Pena Balsamaiso

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Anguiano carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Anguiano's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Anguiano Clean Sheet 68%

Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Anguiano	Pena Balsamaiso
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	0
Draws	6	10
Losses	8	20
Goals Scored	1.5	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.13	2.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Anguiano vs Pena Balsamaiso

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

4:2

Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Pena Balsamaiso vs Anguiano

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Anguiano vs Pena Balsamaiso

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Pena Balsamaiso vs Anguiano

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

5:5

Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Pena Balsamaiso vs Anguiano

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Garcia J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguiano 95 / 100

Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Anguiano Pena Balsamaiso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anguiano scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Pena Balsamaiso let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Anguiano has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anguiano VS Pena Balsamaiso

1.5 Goals Scored 1.13

2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Logrones B	34	26	8	0	99:22	86
2	Varea	34	22	7	5	51:25	73
3	Arnedo	34	21	9	4	72:26	72
4	CD Calahorra	34	17	12	5	86:26	63
5	Oyonesa	34	18	7	9	54:41	61
6	Anguiano	34	17	9	8	49:36	60
7	Haro Deportivo	34	14	9	11	54:46	51
8	Agoncillo	34	13	8	13	59:49	47
9	Vianes	34	11	9	14	39:51	42
10	Yague	34	9	13	12	48:52	40
11	San Marcial	34	10	9	15	39:59	39
12	Berceo	34	10	9	15	42:50	39
13	CDFC La Calzada	34	10	8	16	40:55	38
14	Comillas CF	34	11	5	18	32:58	38
15	Pradejon	34	9	8	17	30:49	35
16	Villegas	34	7	7	20	36:66	28
17	Autol	34	4	6	24	20:80	18
18	Pena Balsamaiso	34	0	11	23	27:86	11