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Anguilla vs Antigua and Barbuda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, St. John's
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Daley A. In: O'Garro J.
Out: Daley A.
35' Event
Bishop D.
Assist: George K.
45'
Scipio A.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Anguilla and Antigua and Barbuda finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antigua and Barbuda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Anguilla
15%
Draws
85%
Antigua and Barbuda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua and Barbuda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Antigua and Barbuda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Antigua and Barbuda taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Antigua and Barbuda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Anguilla Clean Sheet 10%
Antigua and Barbuda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguilla Antigua and Barbuda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Anguilla vs Antigua and Barbuda
0:3
Sep 26, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Antigua and Barbuda vs Anguilla
5:0
Sep 3, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Antigua and Barbuda vs Anguilla
6:0
Sep 20, 2006 Caribbean Cup
Antigua and Barbuda vs Anguilla
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Antigua and Barbuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Bishop D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tomlinson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguilla 10 / 100
Antigua and Barbuda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguilla Antigua and Barbuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua and Barbuda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Antigua and Barbuda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Anguilla scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Antigua and Barbuda registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anguilla VS Antigua and Barbuda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Aruba
3 : 2
Anguilla
01 Oct
Anguilla
0 : 3
Antigua and Barbuda
29 Sept
Anguilla
0 : 2
Aruba
26 Sept
Antigua and Barbuda
5 : 0
Anguilla
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
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Antigua and Barbuda

(Away)
06 Oct
Antigua and Barbuda
3 : 2
Aruba
01 Oct
Anguilla
0 : 3
Antigua and Barbuda
26 Sept
Antigua and Barbuda
5 : 0
Anguilla
23 Sept
Aruba
1 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda
18 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
1 : 4
Guyana
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