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Anguilla vs Bonaire - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Anthony T.
Assist: Ronde G.
6' Event
Anthony T.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Michiel F.
Assist: Anthony T.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Anguilla and Bonaire finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonaire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Anguilla
15%
Draws
85%
Bonaire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bonaire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bonaire carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bonaire are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Anguilla Clean Sheet 11%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguilla Bonaire
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.67 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Anguilla vs Bonaire
0:3
Oct 12, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Anguilla
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bonaire Compare

Top Goalscorer Anthony T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michiel F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguilla 10 / 100
Bonaire 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguilla Bonaire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonaire Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bonaire conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Bonaire lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Anguilla scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Anguilla VS Bonaire
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Aruba
3 : 2
Anguilla
01 Oct
Anguilla
0 : 3
Antigua and Barbuda
29 Sept
Anguilla
0 : 2
Aruba
26 Sept
Antigua and Barbuda
5 : 0
Anguilla
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
Page 1 of 6

Bonaire

(Away)
06 Oct
Grenada
1 : 4
Bonaire
03 Oct
Bonaire
2 : 3
Grenada
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Martin 4 4 0 0 20:1 12
2 Bonaire 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
3 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:19 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aruba 4 4 0 0 14:4 12
2 Cayman Islands 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
3 United States Virgin Islands 4 0 1 3 5:11 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominica 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 British Virgin Islands 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Turks and Caicos Islands 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams