Sport Picks

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Anguilla vs British Virgin Islands

World World

Friendly International 2025 Raymond E. Guishard Technical Centre, The Valley
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Deans J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Anguilla in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Anguilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Anguilla
15%
Draws
45%
British Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: British Virgin Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: British Virgin Islands at 1.03 per game, Anguilla at 0.75.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on British Virgin Islands taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Anguilla Clean Sheet 10%
British Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguilla British Virgin Islands
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 CONCACAF Series
British Virgin Islands vs Anguilla
4:0
Apr 20, 2025 Friendly International
Anguilla vs British Virgin Islands
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Friendly International
Anguilla vs British Virgin Islands
0:0
Jul 6, 2002 Friendly International
British Virgin Islands vs Anguilla
2:1
Feb 27, 2000 Friendly International
British Virgin Islands vs Anguilla
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguilla 10 / 100
British Virgin Islands 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguilla British Virgin Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick British Virgin Islands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

British Virgin Islands let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Anguilla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Anguilla scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anguilla VS British Virgin Islands
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguilla

(Home)
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
26 Mar
Bahamas
1 : 3
Anguilla
16 Nov
Cayman Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
12 Nov
Bahamas
1 : 2
Anguilla
09 Nov
Saint Martin
1 : 2
Anguilla
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British Virgin Islands

(Away)
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
03 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 0
British Virgin Islands
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
15 Nov
Bahamas
0 : 6
British Virgin Islands
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