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Anguilla vs Suriname

World World

World Championship 2026 Raymond E. Guishard Technical Centre, The Valley
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Conraad T.
Assist: Montnor J.
43'
Denswil S.
46'
Sub
Dijksteel A. In: Pinas S.
Out: Dijksteel A.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Anguilla and Suriname finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suriname.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Anguilla
20%
Draws
29%
Suriname
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Anguilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Anguilla haven't matched Suriname's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Suriname's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Anguilla Clean Sheet 17%
Suriname Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguilla Suriname
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 World Championship
Anguilla vs Suriname
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Suriname Compare

Top Goalscorer Conraad T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pinas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguilla 23 / 100
Suriname 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguilla Suriname

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suriname Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Suriname has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Anguilla has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Anguilla found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Anguilla VS Suriname
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguilla

(Home)
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
26 Mar
Bahamas
1 : 3
Anguilla
16 Nov
Cayman Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
12 Nov
Bahamas
1 : 2
Anguilla
09 Nov
Saint Martin
1 : 2
Anguilla
Page 1 of 6

Suriname

(Away)
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1
Suriname
13 Nov
Suriname
4 : 0
El Salvador
15 Oct
Panama
1 : 1
Suriname
10 Oct
Suriname
1 : 1
Guatemala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Bermuda 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
3 Cuba 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Cayman Islands 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Antigua and Barbuda 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 2 1 1 16:7 7
3 Grenada 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Bahamas 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
3 Saint Lucia 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
4 Aruba 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
5 Barbados 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Nicaragua 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Guyana 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Montserrat 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
5 Belize 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Guatemala 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Dominica 4 1 0 3 5:14 3
5 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suriname 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 El Salvador 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Puerto Rico 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)