Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ankara Demirspor vs Gemlikspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Turkish Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ankara Demirspor at 1.55 goals for, 1.48 against; Gemlikspor at 1.29 for, 1.14 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.88 - 1.81) back Gemlikspor to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ankara Demirspor
20%
Draws
52%
Gemlikspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ankara Demirspor haven't matched Gemlikspor's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ankara Demirspor taking it.
  • Gemlikspor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ankara Demirspor Clean Sheet 11%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ankara Demirspor Gemlikspor
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ankara Demirspor 35 / 100
Gemlikspor 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ankara Demirspor Gemlikspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ankara Demirspor scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Gemlikspor conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Ankara Demirspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ankara Demirspor VS Gemlikspor
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ankara Demirspor

(Home)
10 Oct
Ankara Demirspor
5 : 1
Kutahyaspor
04 Oct
K. Istklalspor
1 : 0
Ankara Demirspor
27 Sept
Ankara Demirspor
3 : 4
Adana 01
20 Sept
Trabzon FK
2 : 2
Ankara Demirspor
12 Sept
Ankara Demirspor
3 : 1
Fethiyespor
Page 1 of 6

Gemlikspor

(Away)
07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
SinopSpor 0
Arit Kayadibi 3
Bursa Yildirimspor -
TBD -
Amasyaspor 10
Cankirigucu 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 -
TBD -
Kilis Birlikgucu 0
Kahta 2
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3
Kesap 0
TBD -
Etimesgut -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altay 2
Soke 1970 4
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Nigde -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksehirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mazidagi -
TBD -
Kirikkale FK 0
Kirsehir SK 3
Adana 01 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5
Bucak Belediyesi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Musspor -
Pazarspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Erbaaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Cizre Belediyesi -
Hakkari Zap -
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
Orduspor 1967 10
Torul Belediye Genclik Ve Spor 0
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gemlikspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
TBD -
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor -
TBD -
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 3
Borcka Spor 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
TBD -
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Yesil Yalova FK 1
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece -
TBD -
TBD -
Buyukcekmece Gucu -
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Golcukspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Yozgat -
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
TBD -
Uzunkopruspor Kulubu 1
Bulvarspor 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soma Spor -
TBD -
TBD -
Alanya 1221 -
Adanaspor AS -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
Adana Adaletgucu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
TBD -
TBD -
Silifke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kayserispor -
Gole Spor 0
Kars 36 Spor 5
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Afyonkarahisaspor 2
Urgupspor Kulubu 1
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malatya -
TBD -
Dersim Spor 0
Gelecek Siirt 3
Osmaneli Belediyespor 0
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Karaman FK 2
Kepez Bld. 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Sakaryaspor 2
Arit Kayadibi 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Amasyaspor 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Kahta 0
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
Etimesgut 5
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
Soke 1970 1
Ayvalikgucu 2
Nigde 0
Agri 1970 2
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor 0
Balikesirspor 3
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 0
Fethiyespor 2
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Duzcespor 1
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor 4
Aksehirspor 1
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
Mazidagi 1
Kirsehir SK 0
Adana 01 -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3
TBD -
Musspor -
Pazarspor 3
Erbaaspor 1
TBD -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Serik Spor 1
Hakkari Zap 6
Adanademirspor 1
Orduspor 1967 4
Karadeniz Eregli 1
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
Gemlikspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Hatayspor 1
Karakopru 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 0
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor 1
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. 3
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 5
Buyukcekmece Gucu 1
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
Golcukspor 2
Yozgat 0
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor 3
Bulvarspor 2
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
Soma Spor 4
Alanya 1221 2
Adanaspor AS 0
Adana Adaletgucu 2
TBD -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 6
Silifke 0
TBD -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor 1
Fatsa Bld. 0
TBD -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
Karsiyaka 3
Afyonkarahisaspor 1
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
TBD -
Malatya 3
Gelecek Siirt 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 4
Kepez Bld. 2
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
Sakaryaspor -
Bursa Yildirimspor -
Elazigspor -
Erciyes 38 -
Kastamonuspor -
24Erzincanspor -
Etimesgut -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
Ayvalikgucu -
Agri 1970 -
Istanbulspor AS -
Balikesirspor -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Fethiyespor -
Eyupspor -
Duzcespor -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
Mazidagi -
Adana 01 -
Kutahyaspor -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
Musspor -
Pazarspor -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Serik Spor -
Hakkari Zap -
Orduspor 1967 -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
Gemlikspor -
Genclerbirligi -
Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
Kirklarelispor -
Menemenspor -
Karacabey Bld. -
Umraniyespor -
Kucukcekmece -
Sanliurfaspor -
Golcukspor -
Inegol Kafkas -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
Soma Spor -
Adana Adaletgucu -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
Karsiyaka -
52 Orduspor -
Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
Malatya -
Eskisehir Anadolu -
Aksaray Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -