Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026

Ankara Demirspor

0 - 4

Mardin 1969

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Akcay M. C.

31'

Manis M.

76'

Akcay M. C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Ankara Demirspor and Mardin 1969 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mardin 1969.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Ankara Demirspor

22%

Draws

60%

Mardin 1969

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mardin 1969 come out ahead of Ankara Demirspor on wins alone.
Win probability leans Mardin 1969's way, sitting at 60%.
Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%

Ankara Demirspor Clean Sheet 18%

Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ankara Demirspor	Mardin 1969
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	13	21
Draws	5	5
Losses	13	6
Goals Scored	1.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 2. Lig Red Group

Ankara Demirspor vs Mardin 1969

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

0:4

Aug 30, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

Mardin 1969 vs Ankara Demirspor

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ankara Demirspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Akcay M. C.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Manis M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ankara Demirspor 20 / 100

Mardin 1969 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ankara Demirspor Mardin 1969

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ankara Demirspor scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Ankara Demirspor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mardin 1969's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ankara Demirspor VS Mardin 1969

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	87:19	80
2	Mardin 1969	34	22	5	7	67:25	71
3	Musspor	34	21	7	6	82:35	70
4	Aliaga	34	21	6	7	81:32	69
5	K. Istklalspor	34	21	4	9	82:33	67
6	Isparta 32 Spor	34	18	9	7	70:36	63
7	Guzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56:31	58
8	Menemenspor	34	15	6	13	57:51	51
9	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	47:47	49
10	Aksaray Bld.	34	11	14	9	52:38	47
11	Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54:51	47
12	Arnavutkoy Bl.	34	13	7	14	40:36	46
13	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	52:41	44
14	Kirklarelispor	34	9	9	16	44:49	36
15	Soma Spor	34	8	6	20	41:68	30
16	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	33	4	3	26	22:97	12
17	Adanaspor AS	33	2	1	30	14:159	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	34	0	2	32	8:114	-52