Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Annagh vs Crusaders

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 BMG Arena, Portadown
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rogers A.
45' Event
Upton L.
45' Event
Dunlop E.

AI Match Summary

Crusaders in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Annagh
30%
Draws
39%
Crusaders
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Annagh have won more games recently than Crusaders.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Annagh have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Crusaders, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Annagh Clean Sheet 11%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annagh Crusaders
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Annagh
2:2
Apr 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Annagh vs Crusaders
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Annagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogers A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Upton L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunlop E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bryden F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annagh 30 / 100
Crusaders 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annagh Crusaders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Annagh found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Crusaders conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Annagh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Annagh VS Crusaders
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Annagh

(Home)
22 Aug
Annagh
2 : 0
Moyola
15 Aug
Dundela
2 : 2
Annagh
11 Aug
Annagh
4 : 2
Rathfriland Rangers
08 Aug
Newington FC
4 : 1
Annagh
01 Aug
Annagh
2 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 7

Crusaders

(Away)
22 Aug
Crusaders
3 : 2
Portadown
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1
Ballymena
07 Aug
Cliftonville
2 : 1
Crusaders
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0
Dundela
28 Jul
Crusaders
1 : 1
Newington FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Annagh 4
Crusaders 5