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Stadium Background

Annan vs Alloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Galabank, Annan
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Annan have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.7 conceded recently, against Alloa's 1.48 scored and 1.39 conceded. Past meetings favor Alloa slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.19) back Alloa to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Annan
20%
Draws
29%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Annan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Alloa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Annan taking it.
  • Alloa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alloa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alloa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Annan Clean Sheet 20%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annan Alloa
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Annan
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 League One
Annan vs Alloa
3:4
Nov 2, 2024 League One
Alloa vs Annan
5:0
Aug 24, 2024 League One
Annan vs Alloa
0:1
Mar 30, 2024 League One
Alloa vs Annan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annan 42 / 100
Alloa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annan Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Annan's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Alloa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Annan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Annan VS Alloa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Annan

(Home)
03 Oct
Annan
0 : 1
Stirling
26 Sept
Annan
2 : 1
Hibernian B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
Page 1 of 7

Alloa

(Away)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)