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Annan vs St. Mirren B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Galabank, Annan
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Calvin J.
Assist: Falconer T.
64' Event
Smith A.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Maxwell C.
Assist: Muir R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Annan
15%
Draws
48%
St. Mirren B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Mirren B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Annan have won more games recently than St. Mirren B.
  • Win probability leans St. Mirren B's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Annan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Annan Clean Sheet 13%
St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annan St. Mirren B
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
Annan vs St. Mirren B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Annan Compare

Top Goalscorer Maxwell C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

St. Mirren B Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annan 19 / 100
St. Mirren B 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annan St. Mirren B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Mirren B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Mirren B let in goals in 100% of their last 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Annan's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Annan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Annan VS St. Mirren B
1.5 Goals Scored 2.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Annan

(Home)
03 Oct
Annan
0 : 1
Stirling
26 Sept
Annan
2 : 1
Hibernian B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
Page 1 of 6

St. Mirren B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4
St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Clydebank FC
2 : 1
St. Mirren B
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5
St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4
St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 6 6 0 0 26:4 18
2 Stenhousemuir 6 6 0 0 18:2 18
3 Montrose 6 5 1 0 18:9 16
4 East Fife 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
5 Stranraer 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
6 East Kilbride 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
7 Forfar Athletic 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
8 Edinburgh City 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
9 Spartans 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
10 Elgin City 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
11 Dumbarton 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
12 Annan 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
13 Alloa 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
14 Kelty Hearts 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
15 Clyde 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
16 Queen of the South 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
17 Hamilton 6 3 1 2 13:8 9
18 Stirling 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
19 Cove Rangers 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
20 Peterhead 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
21 Celtic B 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
22 Hearts B 6 2 0 4 9:14 6
23 Hibernian B 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
24 St. Mirren B 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
25 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
26 Aberdeen B 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
27 Motherwell B 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
28 Rangers B 6 0 0 6 6:16 0
29 Kilmarnock B 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
30 Dundee FC B 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)