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Annecy vs Guingamp

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Parc des Sports
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Match Events

14'
Patterson T.
30'
Patterson T.
30'
Patterson T.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Annecy and Guingamp finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Annecy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Annecy
6%
Draws
4%
Guingamp
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Annecy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Annecy come out ahead of Guingamp on wins alone.
  • Model gives Annecy a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Annecy Clean Sheet 68%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annecy Guingamp
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Annecy vs Guingamp
1:0
Dec 5, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Annecy
0:3
Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Annecy vs Guingamp
1:4
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Annecy
2:2
Feb 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Annecy
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Annecy Compare

Top Goalscorer Casadei A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guingamp Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annecy 95 / 100
Guingamp 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annecy Guingamp

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Annecy scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Guingamp's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Annecy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Annecy VS Guingamp
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00