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Stadium Background

Anorga vs Alaves C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Aizpurua P.
77' Event
Prior J.

AI Match Summary

Anorga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Anorga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Anorga
20%
Draws
40%
Alaves C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Alaves C have won more games recently than Anorga.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alaves C here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Anorga Clean Sheet 12%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anorga Alaves C
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.17 2
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anorga vs Alaves C
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Anorga
2:0
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anorga vs Alaves C
1:2
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Anorga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anorga Compare

Top Goalscorer Aizpurua P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prior J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Alaves C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anorga 30 / 100
Alaves C 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anorga Alaves C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves C has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Anorga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Anorga's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Anorga VS Alaves C
1.57 Goals Scored 2
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anorga

(Home)
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2
Lagun Onak
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

Alaves C

(Away)
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1
Alaves C
09 May
Alaves C
1 : 2
Portugalete
03 May
San Ignacio
0 : 1
Alaves C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)