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Anorga vs Anaitasuna FT - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sevillano U.
23' Event
Murua I.
54' Event
Aranburu I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Anorga and Anaitasuna FT finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anorga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Anorga
15%
Draws
48%
Anaitasuna FT
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anaitasuna FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Anorga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Anaitasuna FT taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Anorga Clean Sheet 10%
Anaitasuna FT Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anorga Anaitasuna FT
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs Anorga
2:1
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anorga vs Anaitasuna FT
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anorga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sevillano U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aranburu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Anaitasuna FT Compare

Top Goalscorer Murua I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anorga 22 / 100
Anaitasuna FT 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anorga Anaitasuna FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anaitasuna FT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Anaitasuna FT conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Anorga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Anorga scored in 56% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anorga VS Anaitasuna FT
1.63 Goals Scored 5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Anorga

(Home)
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2
Lagun Onak
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 8

Anaitasuna FT

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Tedeon
2 : 5
Anaitasuna FT
26 Sept
Anaitasuna FT
5 : 0
CD Tedeon
11 May
Basconia
3 : 2
Anaitasuna FT
05 May
Anaitasuna FT
2 : 1
Anorga
01 May
Alaves C
3 : 1
Anaitasuna FT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)