Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anorga vs Real Sociedad C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Letamendia I.
70' Event
Elcano M.
78' Event
Urain I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Anorga and Real Sociedad C finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Sociedad C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Anorga
20%
Draws
47%
Real Sociedad C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Sociedad C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Sociedad C come out ahead of Anorga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Real Sociedad C a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Anorga Clean Sheet 10%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anorga Real Sociedad C
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anorga vs Real Sociedad C
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Anorga
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anorga Compare

Top Goalscorer Urain I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Real Sociedad C Compare

Top Goalscorer Letamendia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elcano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anorga 18 / 100
Real Sociedad C 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anorga Real Sociedad C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Anorga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Anorga found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Real Sociedad C conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Anorga VS Real Sociedad C
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Anorga

(Home)
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2
Lagun Onak
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
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Real Sociedad C

(Away)
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0
Real Sociedad C
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)