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Stadium Background

Ansan Greeners vs Pyeongtaek Citizen

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup 2025 Ansan WA Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Felipe Saraiva
27' Event
Park Chae-Joon
81' Event
Kim Gyeong-Hwan

AI Match Summary

The Korean Cup 2025 game between Ansan Greeners and Pyeongtaek Citizen finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ansan Greeners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ansan Greeners
39%
Draws
31%
Pyeongtaek Citizen
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pyeongtaek Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cup games in Korean Cup 2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ansan Greeners Clean Sheet 15%
Pyeongtaek Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ansan Greeners Pyeongtaek Citizen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Korean Cup
Ansan Greeners vs Pyeongtaek Citizen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ansan Greeners Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Saraiva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Park Chae-Joon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pyeongtaek Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Gyeong-Hwan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ansan Greeners 30 / 100
Pyeongtaek Citizen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ansan Greeners Pyeongtaek Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pyeongtaek Citizen conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Pyeongtaek Citizen's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ansan Greeners scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ansan Greeners VS Pyeongtaek Citizen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Yangsan Eogok1
Busan Kyotong2
TBD-
Busan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon FC-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyeongju KHNP-
TBD-
Seoul Jungnang0
Paju Frontier3
Ulsan Hyundai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimhae Jaemics2
Chuncheon4
TBD-
Incheon-
Gyeongnam-
TBD-
Pyeongchang United2
Yangpyeong1
Hyochang0
Gijang United4
TBD-
Gimpo FC-
Cheonan City-
TBD-
Cheongsol0
Pocheon5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohang-
Yeoju Citizen4
Mokpo3
TBD-
Bucheon FC 1995-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeju SK-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon Bluewings-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul E-Land-
Incheon Seogot0
Daejeon Korail9
TBD-
Cheongju-
Changwon-
TBD-
Geonyung1
Namyangju5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul-
Dangjin Citizen1
Gangneung2
TBD-
Chungnam Asan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Jeonbuk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ansan Greeners-
TBD-
Jeonbuk Jeonju0
Pyeongtaek Citizen6
Sejong SA3
Ulsan Citizen0
TBD-
Jeonnam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Anyang-
Daegu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimhae-
TBD-
Yangcheon TNT0
Geoje1
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Seongnam-
Hwaseong-
TBD-
Jinju Citizen1
Yeoncheon0
1/32-finals
Busan Kyotong2
Busan1
TBD-
Suwon FC-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
Gyeongju KHNP4
Paju Frontier1
Ulsan Hyundai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chuncheon0
Incheon3
Gyeongnam0
Pyeongchang United3
Gijang United0
Gimpo FC4
Cheonan City1
Pocheon0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohang-
Yeoju Citizen1
Bucheon FC 19953
TBD-
Jeju SK-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
Suwon Bluewings2
Seoul E-Land1
Daejeon Korail1
Cheongju0
Changwon1
Namyangju2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul-
Gangneung1
Chungnam Asan0
TBD-
Daejeon-
Jeonbuk-
TBD-
Ansan Greeners3
Pyeongtaek Citizen1
Sejong SA3
Jeonnam1
TBD-
Anyang-
Daegu-
TBD-
Gimhae5
Geoje1
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen3
Seongnam2
Hwaseong1
Jinju Citizen0
1/16-finals
Busan Kyotong1
Suwon FC2
Gwangju FC2
Gyeongju KHNP0
Ulsan Hyundai-
TBD-
Incheon2
Pyeongchang United1
Gimpo FC2
Cheonan City1
TBD-
Pohang-
Bucheon FC 19951
Jeju SK0
Gimcheon Sangmu2
Suwon Bluewings0
Daejeon Korail3
Namyangju0
TBD-
Seoul-
Gangneung1
Daejeon2
Jeonbuk3
Ansan Greeners0
Sejong SA0
Anyang1
Daegu2
Gimhae0
Gangwon-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen1
Hwaseong0
1/8-finals
Suwon FC1
Gwangju FC2
Ulsan Hyundai3
Incheon0
Gimpo FC2
Pohang1
Bucheon FC 19953
Gimcheon Sangmu1
Daejeon Korail1
Seoul2
Daejeon2
Jeonbuk3
Anyang1
Daegu2
Gangwon2
Siheung Citizen1
Quarter-finals
Gwangju FC1
Ulsan Hyundai0
Gimpo FC1
Bucheon FC 19953
Seoul0
Jeonbuk1
Daegu1
Gangwon2
Semi-finals
Gwangju FC4
Bucheon FC 19951
Jeonbuk3
Gangwon2
Final
Gwangju FC1
Jeonbuk2