Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anstey Nomads vs Whitchurch Alport

England England

FA Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Anstey Nomads play Whitchurch Alport in the FA Cup 2022/2023. Anstey Nomads are favorites here. Recently, Anstey Nomads averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Whitchurch Alport averaged 1.09 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. In past meetings, Anstey Nomads won 1, Whitchurch Alport won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 3, 2022 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Anstey Nomads and 1.19 for Whitchurch Alport. This points to a Anstey Nomads double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
Anstey Nomads
15%
Draws
10%
Whitchurch Alport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anstey Nomads

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Anstey Nomads picked up more points recently compared to Whitchurch Alport.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Anstey Nomads Clean Sheet 20%
Whitchurch Alport Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anstey Nomads Whitchurch Alport
Matches Played 29 11
Wins 18 1
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 FA Cup
Anstey Nomads vs Whitchurch Alport
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anstey Nomads 72 / 100
Whitchurch Alport 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anstey Nomads Whitchurch Alport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anstey Nomads Win (1)
Secondary Pick Anstey Nomads & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +11.7%
1.49
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Anstey Nomads attacking → ← attacking Whitchurch Alport

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anstey Nomads scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Whitchurch Alport let in goals in 100% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Anstey Nomads went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Whitchurch Alport lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 5
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25