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Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Antalyaspor host Bursaspor in the 1. Lig. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Antalyaspor at 1.18 goals for, 1.71 against; Bursaspor at 2.29 for, 0.54 against. Head-to-head, Antalyaspor have won 4 to Bursaspor's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.69, favoring Bursaspor. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Antalyaspor
15%
Draws
39%
Bursaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antalyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bursaspor come out ahead of Antalyaspor on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Antalyaspor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Antalyaspor Clean Sheet 13%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antalyaspor Bursaspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.18 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Turkish Cup
Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor
3:0
Jan 12, 2021 Turkish Cup
Bursaspor vs Antalyaspor
0:3
May 10, 2019 Super Lig
Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor
0:1
Dec 9, 2018 Super Lig
Bursaspor vs Antalyaspor
0:2
Mar 31, 2018 Super Lig
Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antalyaspor 35 / 100
Bursaspor 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antalyaspor Bursaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antalyaspor scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Antalyaspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Bursaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Antalyaspor VS Bursaspor
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Antalyaspor

(Home)
18 Oct
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 2
Antalyaspor
14 Oct
Antalyaspor
0 : 4
Kayserispor
10 Oct
Boluspor
0 : 1
Antalyaspor
20 Sept
Antalyaspor
3 : 0
Vanspor FK
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
Page 1 of 6

Bursaspor

(Away)
19 Oct
Bursaspor
2 : 0
Pendikspor
15 Oct
Muglaspor
0 : 3
Bursaspor
11 Oct
Bursaspor
1 : 2
Mardin 1969
19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 11 8 2 1 24:7 26
2 Bursaspor 11 8 1 2 22:9 25
3 Igdir FK 11 7 2 2 15:8 23
4 Keciorengucu 11 5 5 1 21:11 20
5 Batman Petrolspor 11 6 2 3 22:19 20
6 Mardin 1969 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Antalyaspor 11 6 0 5 17:17 18
8 Sariyer 11 4 4 3 14:15 16
9 Muglaspor 11 3 6 2 13:14 15
10 Bandirmaspor 11 3 5 3 16:8 14
11 Bodrumspor 11 3 5 3 13:10 14
12 Sivasspor 11 2 7 2 15:14 13
13 F. Karagumruk 11 3 4 4 14:15 13
14 Erokspor 11 2 6 3 10:13 12
15 Umraniyespor 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
16 Manisa FK 11 2 4 5 18:20 10
17 Vanspor FK 12 3 3 6 13:22 10
18 Pendikspor 11 2 4 5 12:21 10
19 Istanbulspor AS 11 1 2 8 9:26 5
20 Boluspor 11 0 1 10 3:25 1
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