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Antequera vs Melilla CD

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 Estadio El Maulí, Antequera
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 game between Antequera and Melilla CD finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antequera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Antequera
15%
Draws
0%
Melilla CD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antequera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Antequera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Antequera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Antequera Clean Sheet 68%
Melilla CD Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antequera Melilla CD
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.39 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Antequera vs Melilla CD
4:0
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Antequera
0:0
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Antequera vs Melilla CD
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Antequera
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antequera 95 / 100
Melilla CD 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antequera Melilla CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antequera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Melilla CD has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Antequera's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Melilla CD conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Antequera VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Antequera

(Home)
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1
Alcorcon
05 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
Antequera
30 Aug
Antequera
3 : 2
UD Ibiza
08 Aug
Antequera
0 : 3
Granada CF
23 May
Antequera
3 : 1
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 7

Melilla CD

(Away)
09 Oct
Chiclana
4 : 0
Melilla CD
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3
Deportivo Murcia
19 Oct
CD Algar
4 : 1
Melilla CD
06 Jun
Melilla CD
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
29 May
Maracena
5 : 2
Melilla CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 20 10 6 4 35:12 36
2 Almeria B 20 9 6 5 32:25 33
3 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 20 9 6 5 35:25 33
4 CD Torreperogil 20 7 7 6 16:17 28
5 Huetor Tajar 20 6 10 4 28:25 28
6 Huetor Vega 20 6 7 7 25:27 25
7 Jaen 20 7 4 9 24:27 25
8 CP Almeria 20 6 5 9 15:25 23
9 Loja 20 6 3 11 15:32 21
10 Atletico de Porcuna 20 3 12 5 22:23 21
11 Maracena 20 4 8 8 19:28 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez 18 11 4 3 22:15 37
2 Antequera 18 8 6 4 29:11 30
3 El Palo 18 7 7 4 18:17 28
4 Torremolinos 18 7 7 4 23:18 28
5 Malaga B 18 8 4 6 28:19 28
6 CD Estepona 18 5 5 8 18:25 20
7 Alhaurin 18 5 5 8 17:27 20
8 Motril 18 6 2 10 21:26 20
9 Melilla CD 18 4 5 9 17:29 17
10 CD Alhaurino 18 4 5 9 22:28 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)