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Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Championship 2026 ABFA Technical Centre, Piggotts
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Robinson L.
26' Event
Deterville R.
Assist: Bishop D.
39'
Sub
Calvin J. In: Parker J.
Out: Calvin J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Antigua and Barbuda
20%
Draws
10%
Bermuda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antigua and Barbuda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Antigua and Barbuda haven't matched Bermuda's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Antigua and Barbuda taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Antigua and Barbuda Clean Sheet 20%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua and Barbuda Bermuda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.27 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda vs Antigua and Barbuda
2:1
Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 World Championship
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
1:1
Mar 21, 2018 Friendly International
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
3:2
Aug 27, 2008 Caribbean Cup
Bermuda vs Antigua and Barbuda
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua and Barbuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Deterville R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.14

Bermuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Ming S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua and Barbuda 85 / 100
Bermuda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua and Barbuda Bermuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua and Barbuda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermuda let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Antigua and Barbuda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Bermuda has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Antigua and Barbuda VS Bermuda
1.29 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
57% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua and Barbuda

(Home)
01 Oct
Anguilla
0 : 3
Antigua and Barbuda
26 Sept
Antigua and Barbuda
5 : 0
Anguilla
23 Sept
Aruba
1 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda
18 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
1 : 4
Guyana
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0
Aruba
Page 1 of 6

Bermuda

(Away)
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2
Bermuda
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
25 Mar
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Bermuda
19 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 2
Bermuda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Bermuda 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
3 Cuba 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Cayman Islands 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Antigua and Barbuda 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 2 1 1 16:7 7
3 Grenada 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Bahamas 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
3 Saint Lucia 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
4 Aruba 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
5 Barbados 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Nicaragua 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Guyana 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Montserrat 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
5 Belize 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Guatemala 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Dominica 4 1 0 3 5:14 3
5 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suriname 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 El Salvador 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Puerto Rico 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)