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Antigua and Barbuda vs Dominica

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Cibao FC
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Thomas B.
55'
Sub
Prince G. In: Burkard J.
Out: Prince G.
66'
Jules T.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Antigua and Barbuda and Dominica finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Antigua and Barbuda
20%
Draws
38%
Dominica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antigua and Barbuda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Antigua and Barbuda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Antigua and Barbuda Clean Sheet 14%
Dominica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua and Barbuda Dominica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Antigua and Barbuda vs Dominica
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominica vs Antigua and Barbuda
2:1
Apr 1, 2018 Friendly International
Antigua and Barbuda vs Dominica
0:0
Mar 15, 2015 Friendly International
Antigua and Barbuda vs Dominica
1:0
Nov 12, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Antigua and Barbuda vs Dominica
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua and Barbuda 41 / 100
Dominica 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua and Barbuda Dominica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominica has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Dominica's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Antigua and Barbuda scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Antigua and Barbuda VS Dominica
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador650112:615
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines641112:713
3Bonaire61144:84
4Montserrat61053:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao641115:313
2Saint Lucia63037:159
3Grenada62137:67
4Saint Martin62048:136
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti660029:518
2Puerto Rico630311:129
3Sint Maarten63037:189
4Aruba60065:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic660027:418
2Bermuda640215:1312
3Dominica61146:184
4Antigua and Barbuda60152:151