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Antigua and Barbuda vs Puerto Rico

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rivera W.
Assist: Rios D.
16'
Richards K.
29'
Sub
Tapia R. In: Silva I.
Out: Tapia R.

AI Match Summary

Puerto Rico in this CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puerto Rico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Antigua and Barbuda
39%
Draws
30%
Puerto Rico
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Antigua and Barbuda haven't matched Puerto Rico's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Puerto Rico have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Antigua and Barbuda Clean Sheet 10%
Puerto Rico Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua and Barbuda Puerto Rico
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Antigua and Barbuda vs Puerto Rico
2:3
Sep 12, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Puerto Rico vs Antigua and Barbuda
5:0
Oct 8, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Antigua and Barbuda vs Puerto Rico
2:0
Jun 4, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Puerto Rico vs Antigua and Barbuda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua and Barbuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deterville R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Puerto Rico Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rios D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua and Barbuda 30 / 100
Puerto Rico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua and Barbuda Puerto Rico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Puerto Rico conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Antigua and Barbuda's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Antigua and Barbuda remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Antigua and Barbuda VS Puerto Rico
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guadeloupe650116:315
2Saint Lucia631210:610
3Sint Maarten62046:156
4Saint Kitts and Nevis61144:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nicaragua651017:116
2Dominican Republic631214:610
3Montserrat63039:149
4Barbados60067:260
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1French Guiana631210:610
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines630313:149
3Bermuda62228:98
4Belize62135:77
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guyana550020:515
2Puerto Rico640222:1012
3Antigua and Barbuda61149:224
4Bahamas50147:211