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Antigua vs Marathon

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
Antigua Logo

Antigua

0 - 3
FT
Marathon Logo

Marathon

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sorto Caballero T. A.
43'
Castellanos O.
45' Event
Messiniti N.
Assist: Aguilera J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Antigua
15%
Draws
37%
Marathon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Antigua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Marathon a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Antigua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Marathon, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Antigua Clean Sheet 12%
Marathon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Marathon
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Antigua vs Marathon
0:3
Nov 4, 2020 CONCACAF League
Marathon vs Antigua
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Marathon Compare

Top Goalscorer Messiniti N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 22 / 100
Marathon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Marathon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marathon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Antigua stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Marathon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS Marathon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Marathon

(Away)
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Marathon
5 : 0
Estrella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)