Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Antigua have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Marathon's 0.75 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Antigua have won 0 to Marathon's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2020, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.00) back Antigua to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Antigua carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Antigua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Antigua | Marathon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Antigua found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Marathon conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Antigua stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Antigua
(Home)Marathon
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diriangen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Alajuelense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Luis Angel Firpo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 5 | Plaza Amador | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Herediano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 | Marathon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Esteli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Antigua | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Alianza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | UMECIT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Motagua | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Municipal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Cartagines | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | FAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Verdes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |