Sport Picks

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Antigua vs Suchitepequez

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
Tue, Sep 15, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Antigua host Suchitepequez in the Liga Nacional. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Antigua at 1.77 goals for, 1.39 against; Suchitepequez at 1.21 for, 1.68 against. Past meetings favor Antigua slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2018, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.00, favoring Antigua. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Antigua
15%
Draws
21%
Suchitepequez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Antigua have won more games recently than Suchitepequez.
  • Antigua are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Antigua Clean Sheet 20%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Suchitepequez
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2018 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Suchitepequez
2:3
Feb 18, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Antigua
1:3
Oct 8, 2017 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Suchitepequez
5:0
Aug 5, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Antigua
1:0
Mar 29, 2017 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Suchitepequez
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 58 / 100
Suchitepequez 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Suchitepequez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Suchitepequez let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Antigua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS Suchitepequez
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
30 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
4 : 3
Antigua
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
23 Aug
Antigua
2 : 0
Comunicaciones
19 Aug
Coban Imperial
0 : 2
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

Suchitepequez

(Away)
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
29 Aug
Suchitepequez
3 : 2
Coban Imperial
22 Aug
Aurora F.C.
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
16 Aug
Suchitepequez
1 : 2
Marquense
09 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 7 5 1 1 9:2 16
2 Deportivo San Pedro 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
3 Antigua 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
4 Guastatoya 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
5 Deportivo Mixco 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
6 Marquense 8 4 0 4 10:13 12
7 Xelaju 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
8 Aurora F.C. 7 3 0 4 10:11 9
9 Malacateco 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
10 Comunicaciones 8 2 1 5 6:13 7
11 Suchitepequez 8 1 2 5 7:15 5
12 Coban Imperial 7 1 1 5 7:13 4
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)