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Stadium Background

Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Regional de Antofagasta, Antofagasta
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Ayala J.
37'
Sepulveda N.
44' Event
Orellana D.
Assist: Espinoza F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Antofagasta
20%
Draws
33%
Deportes Iquique
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antofagasta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Antofagasta have won more games recently than Deportes Iquique.
  • Win probability leans Antofagasta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Antofagasta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Antofagasta, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 68%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antofagasta Deportes Iquique
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique
4:1
Sep 23, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Iquique vs Antofagasta
1:1
Aug 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Antofagasta
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique
4:0
May 11, 2025 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antofagasta Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtado B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leyton S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Deportes Iquique Compare

Top Goalscorer Orellana D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antofagasta 95 / 100
Deportes Iquique 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antofagasta Deportes Iquique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Antofagasta scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Deportes Iquique has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Antofagasta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Antofagasta VS Deportes Iquique
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Antofagasta

(Home)
07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
U. De Chile
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
Rangers
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Iquique

(Away)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 4
Cobreloa 2
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 2
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 3
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile 0
Antofagasta 2
Union La Calera -
Coquimbo -
Semi-finals
TBD -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -