Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026

Antoniano

1 - 0

Aguilas FC

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Ruiz J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Antoniano and Aguilas FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antoniano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Antoniano

39%

Draws

30%

Aguilas FC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Aguilas FC come out ahead of Antoniano on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Antoniano Clean Sheet 20%

Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Antoniano	Aguilas FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	17
Draws	6	5
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Antoniano vs Aguilas FC

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Oct 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Aguilas FC vs Antoniano

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

May 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Aguilas FC vs Antoniano

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Dec 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Antoniano vs Aguilas FC

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Apr 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Antoniano vs Aguilas FC

Possession: 49% - 60% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antoniano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Aguilas FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antoniano 32 / 100

Aguilas FC 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Antoniano Aguilas FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Antoniano scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Aguilas FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Antoniano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Antoniano VS Aguilas FC

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 63%

13% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Extremadura	34	17	12	5	54:38	63
2	Deportiva Minera	34	19	6	9	50:33	63
3	Aguilas FC	34	18	7	9	45:25	61
4	Xerez CD	34	17	8	9	32:24	59
5	Jaen	34	16	10	8	43:33	58
6	Recreativo Huelva	34	16	9	9	41:25	57
7	UCAM Murcia	34	16	7	11	49:41	55
8	Linares	34	11	14	9	42:45	47
9	La Union (Malacitano)	34	13	6	15	44:43	45
10	Lorca Deportiva	34	12	9	13	32:36	45
11	Yeclano	34	12	8	14	33:33	44
12	Antoniano	34	12	8	14	38:40	44
13	CD Estepona	34	12	8	14	40:44	44
14	Puente Genil	34	10	10	14	28:37	40
15	Xerez Deportivo FC	34	8	12	14	34:43	36
16	Melilla	34	7	13	14	36:40	34
17	Almeria B	34	4	9	21	26:53	21
18	Malaga B	34	5	6	23	32:66	21