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Antwerp vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Bosuilstadion, Deurne
Antwerp Logo

Antwerp

0 - 1
FT
Charleroi Logo

Charleroi

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Praet D.
41' Event
Titraoui Y.
Assist: Van Den Kerkhof K.
57'
Blum L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Charleroi in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Antwerp
15%
Draws
64%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Charleroi have won more games recently than Antwerp.
  • Charleroi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Charleroi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 10%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp Charleroi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
1:1
May 29, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antwerp Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Titraoui Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 14 / 100
Charleroi 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Antwerp scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Charleroi conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Antwerp remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS Charleroi
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Antwerp

(Home)
13 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 1
Antwerp
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
15 Aug
Kortrijk
0 : 3
Antwerp
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Charleroi

(Away)
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)