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Antwerp vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Bosuilstadion, Deurne
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Praet D.
41' Event
Titraoui Y.
Assist: Van Den Kerkhof K.
57'
Blum L.

AI Match Summary

Charleroi in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Antwerp
22%
Draws
18%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Antwerp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Charleroi have won more games recently than Antwerp.
  • Antwerp are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Charleroi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 20%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp Charleroi
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Antwerp
1:1
May 29, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Charleroi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antwerp Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Titraoui Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 58 / 100
Charleroi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Antwerp remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Antwerp found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS Charleroi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Antwerp

(Home)
25 Jul
Antwerp
1 : 1
Lierse SK
24 Jul
Antwerp
3 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
19 Jul
Hasselt
0 : 2
Antwerp
11 Jul
Bochum
1 : 0
Antwerp
04 Jul
PSV
1 : 1
Antwerp
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Charleroi

(Away)
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 2
Reims
23 May
St. Liege
0 : 2
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Genk1045111:638
8St. Liege1052317:1137
9Charleroi1052312:834
10Westerlo1041514:1733
11Antwerp1041512:1631
12Leuven101369:1723
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)