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Antwerp vs Leuven

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Bosuilstadion, Deurne
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Match Events

24'
Gil O.
28'
Gil O.
28'
Gil O.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Antwerp and Leuven finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antwerp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Antwerp
15%
Draws
0%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antwerp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Antwerp carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Antwerp taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 68%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp Leuven
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.18 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Antwerp
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Leuven
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Antwerp
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Leuven
3:1
Feb 22, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Leuven
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antwerp Compare

Top Goalscorer Dierckx X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamdaoui Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Leuven Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 95 / 100
Leuven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp Leuven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antwerp Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Leuven registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Antwerp found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Leuven has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS Leuven
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Antwerp

(Home)
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
15 Aug
Kortrijk
0 : 3
Antwerp
09 Aug
Antwerp
2 : 1
SK Beveren
02 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 1
Antwerp
Page 1 of 6

Leuven

(Away)
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
15 Aug
Leuven
0 : 3
Club Brugge
09 Aug
Charleroi
3 : 1
Leuven
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6
Lille
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)