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AO Ilisiakos vs Apollon Smyrnis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Smyrnis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Smyrnis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AO Ilisiakos
28%
Draws
22%
Apollon Smyrnis
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: AO Ilisiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AO Ilisiakos at 1.5 per game, Apollon Smyrnis at 0.
  • AO Ilisiakos are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
AO Ilisiakos Clean Sheet 68%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AO Ilisiakos Apollon Smyrnis
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
AO Ilisiakos vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Apollon Smyrnis vs AO Ilisiakos
1:1
May 20, 2012 Football League 2 - Group 1
AO Ilisiakos vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:0
Feb 26, 2012 Football League 2 - Group 1
Apollon Smyrnis vs AO Ilisiakos
2:0
Feb 13, 2005 Football League
Apollon Smyrnis vs AO Ilisiakos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AO Ilisiakos 59 / 100
Apollon Smyrnis 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AO Ilisiakos Apollon Smyrnis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AO Ilisiakos scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Apollon Smyrnis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: AO Ilisiakos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Apollon Smyrnis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AO Ilisiakos VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AO Ilisiakos

(Home)
08 Apr
Atsalenios FC
1 : 2
AO Ilisiakos
05 Apr
AO Ilisiakos
0 : 1
Giouchtas
01 Apr
Aias
0 : 3
AO Ilisiakos
28 Mar
AO Ilisiakos
2 : 0
Chaidari
22 Mar
Agias Marinas
3 : 2
AO Ilisiakos
Page 1 of 7

Apollon Smyrnis

(Away)
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ethnikos Piraeus
3 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ermis Zonianon
3 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
07 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
3 : 0
Ipato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panionios34266281:2284
2Ethnikos Piraeus342012261:1972
3Almyros Gaziou341712559:2863
4Aris Petroupolis341861047:3860
5AO Ilisiakos34169943:2957
6Ipato341491145:3451
7Atsalenios FC341481241:3350
8Agios Nikolaos3414101055:3849
9Chaidari3413101139:2949
10Ellopiakos341391245:4348
11AO Proodeftiki341461447:3848
12Apollon Smyrnis3410121239:3742
13Ermis Zonianon349101536:5437
14Episkopi349101540:5437
15Peramaikos34932232:5830
16Fostiras346131529:4028
17Paraskevi34552426:8217
18Atromitos Piraeus34322916:10511
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)