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AO Trikala vs AEL Larissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Greek Cup
AO Trikala Logo

AO Trikala

0 - 4
FT
AEL Larissa Logo

AEL Larissa

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Papageorgiou K.
45' Event
Andrada L.
52' Event
Papageorgiou A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AO Trikala
30%
Draws
43%
AEL Larissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEL Larissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • AEL Larissa haven't matched AO Trikala's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on AEL Larissa taking it.
  • AO Trikala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AEL Larissa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AEL Larissa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AO Trikala Clean Sheet 20%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AO Trikala AEL Larissa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Greek Cup
AO Trikala vs AEL Larissa
0:4
May 1, 2022 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs AO Trikala
3:0
Feb 6, 2022 Super League 2
AO Trikala vs AEL Larissa
0:1
Aug 26, 2020 Club Friendly
AO Trikala vs AEL Larissa
0:1
Sep 8, 2019 Club Friendly
AEL Larissa vs AO Trikala
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AO Trikala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Papageorgiou K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrada L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AO Trikala 12 / 100
AEL Larissa 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AO Trikala AEL Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AO Trikala found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

AEL Larissa has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AO Trikala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AO Trikala VS AEL Larissa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AO Trikala

(Home)
04 Oct
AE Iraklis Larissa
0 : 1
AO Trikala
26 Sept
Feraios
0 : 1
AO Trikala
11 Aug
AO Trikala
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
08 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Lamia
05 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
Page 1 of 6

AEL Larissa

(Away)
03 Oct
Niki Volos
2 : 2
AEL Larissa
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
PAOK B
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Athens Kallithea -
TBD -
AO Trikala 0
AEL Larissa 4
Iraklis FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Volos -
Atromitos -
TBD -
TBD -
Pyrgos -
Zakynthos -
TBD -
TBD -
Kifisia -
Karditsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Aris -
Ellas Syrou -
TBD -
TBD -
Marko -
Niki Volos -
TBD -
TBD -
Panionios -
Levadiakos -
TBD -
TBD -
Asteras Tripolis -
Chrisoupolis -
TBD -
TBD -
Apollon Kalamaria -
Kalamata -
TBD -
TBD -
Panetolikos -
Panserraikos -
TBD -
TBD -
Panthrakikos -
Final
Athens Kallithea 1
AEL Larissa 3
Iraklis FC 1
Volos 3
Atromitos 3
Pyrgos 1
Zakynthos 1
Kifisia 6
Karditsa 0
Aris 2
Ellas Syrou 1
Marko 2
Niki Volos 1
Panionios 0
Levadiakos 0
Asteras Tripolis 3
Chrisoupolis 1
Apollon Kalamaria 0
Kalamata 4
Panetolikos 2
Panserraikos 2
Panthrakikos 1