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Stadium Background

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Leczna W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Tomasiak P.
63' Event
Ratajczyk R.
65' Event
Pietakiewicz J.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W and Leczna W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leczna W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
33%
Draws
40%
Leczna W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Leczna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Leczna W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Leczna W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leczna W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Clean Sheet 10%
Leczna W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Leczna W
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 16 24
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Leczna W
1:4
Aug 23, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Leczna W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Leczna W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2:0
Sep 25, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Leczna W
0:2
Mar 2, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Leczna W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Compare

Top Goalscorer Khoroshchak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Leczna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomasiak P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ratajczyk R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 26 / 100
Leczna W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Leczna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Leczna W conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W VS Leczna W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

(Home)
18 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 3
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
30 May
GKS Katowice W
3 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1
Lech-UAM Poznan W
09 May
UJ Krakow W
2 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
02 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1 : 3
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
Page 1 of 7

Leczna W

(Away)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
23 May
Leczna W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
10 May
Czarni Sosnowiec W
4 : 1
Leczna W
02 May
Leczna W
2 : 1
GKS Katowice W
25 Apr
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 3
Leczna W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)