Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs UJ Krakow W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Fabova K.
57' Event
Jagodzinska R.
71' Event
Jagodzinska R.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W and UJ Krakow W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
6%
Draws
90%
UJ Krakow W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UJ Krakow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — UJ Krakow W are scoring more at 1.
  • Model gives UJ Krakow W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Clean Sheet 10%
UJ Krakow W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W UJ Krakow W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
UJ Krakow W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs UJ Krakow W
3:0
Apr 20, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
UJ Krakow W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2:3
Sep 30, 2023 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs UJ Krakow W
0:1
May 3, 2023 Polish Cup Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs UJ Krakow W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jagodzinska R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fabova K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

UJ Krakow W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 10 / 100
UJ Krakow W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W UJ Krakow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

UJ Krakow W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W VS UJ Krakow W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

(Home)
18 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 3
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
30 May
GKS Katowice W
3 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1
Lech-UAM Poznan W
09 May
UJ Krakow W
2 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
02 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1 : 3
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
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UJ Krakow W

(Away)
17 Jul
UJ Krakow W
8 : 0
Czworka Radom W
30 May
UJ Krakow W
4 : 0
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
22 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
0 : 1
UJ Krakow W
09 May
UJ Krakow W
2 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
02 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 0
UJ Krakow W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)