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Apafut vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Giovanni
43' Event
Tallys

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Apafut and Esportivo Bento Goncalves finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Apafut
35%
Draws
27%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Apafut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Apafut carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Apafut are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Apafut Clean Sheet 68%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apafut Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 12
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Gaucho 2
Apafut vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apafut Compare

Top Goalscorer Tallys
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Giovanni
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apafut 77 / 100
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apafut Esportivo Bento Goncalves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apafut found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Apafut has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Apafut VS Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apafut

(Home)
10 Oct
Santa Cruz RS
0 : 1
Apafut
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Lajeadense
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
Apafut
1 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
Page 1 of 6

Esportivo Bento Goncalves

(Away)
10 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 2
Brasil de Pelotas
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)