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Apafut vs Santa Cruz RS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
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Match Events

10' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Apafut
35%
Draws
20%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Apafut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz RS haven't matched Apafut's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Apafut's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Apafut have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Apafut, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Apafut have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Apafut Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apafut Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 16
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1.06
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Apafut
0:1
Oct 3, 2026 Gaucho 2
Apafut vs Santa Cruz RS
1:0
Sep 23, 2026 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Apafut
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apafut 77 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apafut Santa Cruz RS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Apafut remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Apafut found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Santa Cruz RS has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Apafut VS Santa Cruz RS
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apafut

(Home)
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Lajeadense
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
Apafut
1 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz RS

(Away)
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Passo Fundo 2
Brasil de Farroupilha 0
Santa Cruz RS 0
Apafut 1
Veranopolis 0
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 0
Brasil de Pelotas 0
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -