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Aparecida EC U20 vs Royal U20

Brazil Brazil

Goiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aparecida EC U20 play Royal U20 in the Goiano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aparecida EC U20 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Royal U20 averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Aparecida EC U20 won 1, Royal U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Aparecida EC U20 and 0.93 for Royal U20. This points to a Aparecida EC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aparecida EC U20
34%
Draws
29%
Royal U20
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Aparecida EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Aparecida EC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Royal U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Aparecida EC U20 Clean Sheet 24%
Royal U20 Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida EC U20 Royal U20
Matches Played 15 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.19

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2024 Goiano U20
Aparecida EC U20 vs Royal U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecida EC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iran
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soares D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Royal U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida EC U20 38 / 100
Royal U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida EC U20 Royal U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aparecida EC U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aparecida EC U20 attacking → ← attacking Royal U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida EC U20 scored in 73% of their last 15 games.

Royal U20 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aparecida EC U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Royal U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vila Nova FC U201173127:1124
2Goias U201164126:1022
3Atletico GO U201164123:922
4Trindade U201153316:1418
5Aparecidense U201144315:1416
6Guanabara City U201136219:1615
7Aparecida EC U201136212:1215
8Jataiense U201141611:2213
9Cerrado EC U201124510:1510
10Royal U20112367:169
11Guapo M19 U201114613:197
12Itaberai U20111289:305