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Aparecida vs Cinfaes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Balde U.
43' Event
Tomazi M.
59' Event
Balde U.

AI Match Summary

Cinfaes in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cinfaes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aparecida
20%
Draws
52%
Cinfaes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cinfaes lately — more wins on the board than Aparecida.
  • Win probability leans Cinfaes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Aparecida Clean Sheet 10%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida Cinfaes
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 12
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.35
Goals Conceded 2 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Aparecida
5:2
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Aparecida vs Cinfaes
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecida Compare

Top Goalscorer Adjei D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cinfaes Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde U.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tomazi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida 10 / 100
Cinfaes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida Cinfaes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cinfaes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Aparecida found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Cinfaes conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Aparecida remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida VS Cinfaes
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecida

(Home)
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Leca
5 : 1
Aparecida
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Aparecida
Page 1 of 6

Cinfaes

(Away)
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
01 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)