Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Aparecida

1 - 4

Cinfaes

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Balde U.

43'

Tomazi M.

59'

Balde U.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cinfaes in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cinfaes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Aparecida

Draws

90%

Cinfaes

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Cinfaes lately — more wins on the board than Aparecida.
Win probability leans Cinfaes's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Aparecida Clean Sheet 13%

Cinfaes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aparecida	Cinfaes
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	9	12
Draws	4	10
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	2.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Cinfaes vs Aparecida

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

5:2

Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Aparecida vs Cinfaes

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecida Compare

Top Goalscorer Adjei D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Cinfaes Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde U.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Tomazi M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida 10 / 100

Cinfaes 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aparecida Cinfaes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Aparecida found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Cinfaes conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Aparecida remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida VS Cinfaes

1.5 Goals Scored 1

2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 13%

63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rebordosa	26	17	7	2	41:17	58
2	Leca	26	14	9	3	50:23	51
3	Cinfaes	26	10	10	6	33:21	40
4	Beira Mar	26	10	8	8	30:22	38
5	FC Alpendorada	26	9	11	6	30:22	38
6	Florgrade	26	9	10	7	28:28	37
7	Vila Mea	26	7	13	6	29:28	34
8	Uniao Lamas	26	9	6	11	27:33	33
9	SC Salgueiros	26	7	11	8	20:19	32
10	Anadia	26	7	9	10	27:33	30
11	Aparecida	26	9	4	13	36:51	28
12	GD Resende	26	6	10	10	27:31	28
13	SC Vila Real	26	5	12	9	23:30	27
14	CD Gouveia	26	1	4	21	14:57	7