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Aparecidense U20 vs Itaberai U20

Brazil Brazil

Goiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aparecidense U20 play Itaberai U20 in the Goiano U20 2024. Aparecidense U20 are favorites here. Recently, Aparecidense U20 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Itaberai U20 averaged 0.82 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. In past meetings, Aparecidense U20 won 1, Itaberai U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Aparecidense U20 and 1.13 for Itaberai U20. This points to a Aparecidense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Aparecidense U20
19%
Draws
15%
Itaberai U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Aparecidense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Aparecidense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Itaberai U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Aparecidense U20 Clean Sheet 21%
Itaberai U20 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecidense U20 Itaberai U20
Matches Played 32 11
Wins 10 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.03 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2024 Goiano U20
Aparecidense U20 vs Itaberai U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecidense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Pitaluga
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Itaberai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecidense U20 64 / 100
Itaberai U20 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecidense U20 Itaberai U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aparecidense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Aparecidense U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aparecidense U20 attacking → ← attacking Itaberai U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecidense U20 scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Itaberai U20 let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aparecidense U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Itaberai U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 5
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vila Nova FC U201173127:1124
2Goias U201164126:1022
3Atletico GO U201164123:922
4Trindade U201153316:1418
5Aparecidense U201144315:1416
6Guanabara City U201136219:1615
7Aparecida EC U201136212:1215
8Jataiense U201141611:2213
9Cerrado EC U201124510:1510
10Royal U20112367:169
11Guapo M19 U201114613:197
12Itaberai U20111289:305