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Aparecidense vs Goiatuba EC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo, Aparecida de Goiânia
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Raphael Luz
(Penalty)
28' Event
Thalles
39'
Sub
Vinicius Tsimuta In: Wendson
Out: Vinicius Tsimuta

AI Match Summary

Aparecidense in this Goiano matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aparecidense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Aparecidense
35%
Draws
47%
Goiatuba EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Goiatuba EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Goiatuba EC have won more games recently than Aparecidense.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Goiatuba EC taking it.
  • Regular Goiano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Aparecidense Clean Sheet 19%
Goiatuba EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecidense Goiatuba EC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Goiano
Aparecidense vs Goiatuba EC
4:1
Aug 23, 2025 Serie D
Aparecidense vs Goiatuba EC
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Serie D
Goiatuba EC vs Aparecidense
2:3
Feb 16, 2025 Goiano
Goiatuba EC vs Aparecidense
1:0
Feb 18, 2024 Goiano
Aparecidense vs Goiatuba EC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Raphael Luz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruninho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Goiatuba EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Thalles
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecidense 16 / 100
Goiatuba EC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecidense Goiatuba EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goiatuba EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecidense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Goiatuba EC conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Aparecidense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aparecidense VS Goiatuba EC
0.83 Goals Scored 0.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecidense

(Home)
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Gama
2 : 2
Aparecidense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
24 May
Luverdense
1 : 0
Aparecidense
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Goiatuba EC

(Away)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
08 Aug
Goiatuba EC
0 : 0
ASA
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goias 8 6 2 0 14:1 20
2 Vila Nova FC 8 6 0 2 18:8 18
3 Jataiense 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
4 Atletico GO 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
5 ABECAT Ouvidorense 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
6 Anapolina 8 4 0 4 10:12 12
7 Anapolis 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
8 CRAC 8 2 3 3 5:6 9
9 Goiatuba EC 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
10 Aparecidense 8 1 3 4 10:14 6
11 Centro Oeste 8 1 3 4 4:15 6
12 Inhumas 8 0 2 6 4:11 2
Promotion - Goiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Goiano (Relegation)
Relegation - Goiano (Relegation)