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Apeldoorn vs AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2013
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Gudelj N.
14' Event
Johannsson A.
20' Event
Elm V.

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar in this Club Friendly 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Apeldoorn
20%
Draws
47%
AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than Apeldoorn.
  • AZ Alkmaar are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and AZ Alkmaar have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Apeldoorn Clean Sheet 17%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apeldoorn AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 14 32
Wins 3 19
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2013 Club Friendly
Apeldoorn vs AZ Alkmaar
1:7
Jul 19, 2011 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Apeldoorn
5:0
Jan 12, 2009 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Apeldoorn
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apeldoorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Schooten R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Elm V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Johannsson A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apeldoorn 20 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apeldoorn AZ Alkmaar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.33 goals when they meet.

AZ Alkmaar let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Apeldoorn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Apeldoorn scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AZ Alkmaar
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Apeldoorn

(Home)
11 Jul
Apeldoorn
1 : 7
AZ Alkmaar
05 Jan
Feyenoord
0 : 0
Apeldoorn
21 Dec
Apeldoorn
0 : 2
Sittard
17 Dec
Apeldoorn
4 : 0
Almere City
14 Dec
Eindhoven FC
1 : 6
Apeldoorn
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AZ Alkmaar

(Away)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2
G.A. Eagles
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