Sport Picks
APIA Leichhardt vs Manly Utd
Australia
NPL NSW Lambert Park, Sydney 
Match Events
21'
21'
Gonzalez O.
71'
71'
Ortiz P.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between APIA Leichhardt and Manly Utd finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APIA Leichhardt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
30%
32%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: APIA Leichhardt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and APIA Leichhardt come out ahead of Manly Utd on wins alone.
- APIA Leichhardt are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 13%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | APIA Leichhardt | Manly Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Manly Utd
2:0
Feb 20, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs APIA Leichhardt
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Manly Utd
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs APIA Leichhardt
1:2
Jun 7, 2024 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs APIA Leichhardt
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
APIA Leichhardt Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ortiz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Manly Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
APIA Leichhardt 35 / 100
Manly Utd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
APIA Leichhardt Manly Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
APIA Leichhardt found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
Solid form: APIA Leichhardt remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Manly Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
APIA Leichhardt VS Manly Utd
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
APIA Leichhardt
(Home) 12 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Sydney Utd
08 Aug
St George Saints
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1 UNSW
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5 APIA Leichhardt
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Sydney Utd
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1 UNSW
14 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Peninsula
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Sydney FC U23
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2 Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 3
Manly Utd
(Away) 08 Aug
Manly Utd
3 : 1 Marconi Stallions
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 Manly Utd
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0 Sydney Olympic
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0 Manly Utd
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1 Sutherland Sharks
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 Manly Utd
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0 Manly Utd
27 Jun
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 3 Manly Utd
06 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 0 Manly Utd
23 May
St. George City
1 : 2 Manly Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 59:32 | 61 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 39:19 | 57 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 47:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 43:34 | 43 |
| 5 | Rockdale Ilinden | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 44:38 | 40 |
| 6 | Manly Utd | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:31 | 38 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41:44 | 38 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 35:41 | 37 |
| 9 | St. George City | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | 37 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 51:43 | 35 |
| 11 | NWS Spirit | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:37 | 34 |
| 12 | Wollongong | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 30:38 | 32 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 40:44 | 31 |
| 14 | UNSW | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 38:45 | 31 |
| 15 | Sydney Olympic | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 30:58 | 22 |
| 16 | St George Saints | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 25:48 | 21 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
