Sport Picks
APIA Leichhardt vs NWS Spirit - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW Lambert Park, Sydney 
Match Events
53'
53'
Stewart J.
(Penalty)
65'
65'
Ortiz P.
87'
87'
Sciuriaga L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NWS Spirit
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and APIA Leichhardt come out ahead of NWS Spirit on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- APIA Leichhardt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor APIA Leichhardt, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 19%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | APIA Leichhardt | NWS Spirit |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs NWS Spirit
3:0
May 30, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs NWS Spirit
3:2
Jun 7, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs NWS Spirit
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
APIA Leichhardt Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sciuriaga L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
NWS Spirit Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
APIA Leichhardt 36 / 100
NWS Spirit 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
APIA Leichhardt NWS Spirit
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NWS Spirit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
APIA Leichhardt's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
NWS Spirit let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
APIA Leichhardt has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
APIA Leichhardt VS NWS Spirit
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
APIA Leichhardt
(Home) 13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1 Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1 Melbourne Victory
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1 SD Raiders
Page 1 of 4
NWS Spirit
(Away) 06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
02 Aug
Sydney Utd
2 : 0 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
APIA Leichhardt -
TBD -
Marconi Stallions 1
NWS Spirit 3
Sydney Utd -
TBD -
Sutherland Sharks 1
Manly Utd 2
Semi-finals
APIA Leichhardt 3
NWS Spirit 0
Sydney Utd 3
Manly Utd 1
Final
APIA Leichhardt 1
Sydney Utd 3
