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APIA Leichhardt vs Parramatta Eagles

Australia Australia

NPL NSW 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Plataniotis M.
Own Goal
13' Event
Murray J.
14' Event
Murray J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW 2017 game between APIA Leichhardt and Parramatta Eagles finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APIA Leichhardt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
APIA Leichhardt
20%
Draws
29%
Parramatta Eagles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APIA Leichhardt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and APIA Leichhardt come out ahead of Parramatta Eagles on wins alone.
  • Model gives APIA Leichhardt a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL NSW 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 68%
Parramatta Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt Parramatta Eagles
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 26 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 24
Goals Scored 2.22 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2017 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Parramatta Eagles
6:0
Apr 22, 2017 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs APIA Leichhardt
1:3
Jul 9, 2016 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Parramatta Eagles
1:1
Mar 20, 2016 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs APIA Leichhardt
0:0
Aug 2, 2015 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Parramatta Eagles
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Symons S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Parramatta Eagles Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 86 / 100
Parramatta Eagles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt Parramatta Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APIA Leichhardt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: APIA Leichhardt scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Parramatta Eagles has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: APIA Leichhardt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS Parramatta Eagles
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

APIA Leichhardt

(Home)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0
NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2
St. George City
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 8

Parramatta Eagles

(Away)
11 Sept
Prospect United
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
04 Sept
Parramatta Eagles
4 : 1
Prospect United
14 Feb
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
13 Aug
Parramatta Eagles
0 : 2
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
05 Aug
Parramatta Eagles
0 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 22 16 1 5 50:18 49
2 Blacktown City 22 14 5 3 45:22 47
3 Manly Utd 22 13 3 6 47:36 42
4 Rockdale Ilinden 22 12 6 4 42:28 42
5 Sydney Olympic 22 12 4 6 35:23 40
6 Wollongong 22 12 1 9 35:28 37
7 Sydney Utd 22 10 4 8 42:27 34
8 Hakoah Sydney 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 22 5 4 13 31:50 19
10 Sutherland Sharks 22 5 1 16 29:55 16
11 Sydney FC U21 22 6 2 14 34:52 14
12 Parramatta Eagles 22 1 3 18 16:60 6
Promotion - Northern NSW 2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)