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APIA Leichhardt vs Peninsula

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Lambert Park, Sydney
APIA Leichhardt Logo

APIA Leichhardt

2 - 1
FT
Peninsula Logo

Peninsula

Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Diho R.
45' Event
Stewart J.
Assist: Konestabo M. S.
58'
Sub
Messina R. In: Gibbs K.
Out: Messina R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
APIA Leichhardt
30%
Draws
29%
Peninsula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: APIA Leichhardt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Peninsula haven't matched APIA Leichhardt's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans APIA Leichhardt's way, sitting at 90%.
  • APIA Leichhardt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor APIA Leichhardt, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 19%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt Peninsula
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 21 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.1 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Australia Cup
APIA Leichhardt vs Peninsula
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Symons S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Peninsula Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibbs K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 85 / 100
Peninsula 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt Peninsula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APIA Leichhardt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APIA Leichhardt's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Peninsula let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: APIA Leichhardt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS Peninsula
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

APIA Leichhardt

(Home)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0
NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2
St. George City
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 6

Peninsula

(Away)
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2
Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory -
South Melbourne -