Sport Picks
APIA Leichhardt vs St. George City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW Lambert Park, Sydney 
Match Events
40'
40'
Ortiz P.
48'
48'
Mitry P.
55'
55'
Mitry P.
AI Match Summary
APIA Leichhardt in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored APIA Leichhardt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. George City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- APIA Leichhardt have won more games recently than St. George City.
- Model gives APIA Leichhardt a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 20%
St. George City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | APIA Leichhardt | St. George City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs St. George City
4:2
May 16, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs APIA Leichhardt
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs St. George City
1:0
May 10, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs APIA Leichhardt
0:0
Jun 12, 2024 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs St. George City
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
APIA Leichhardt Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Muata Marlow T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
St. George City Compare
Top Goalscorer Mitry P.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
APIA Leichhardt 40 / 100
St. George City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
APIA Leichhardt St. George City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APIA Leichhardt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
APIA Leichhardt's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
St. George City has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: APIA Leichhardt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
APIA Leichhardt VS St. George City
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
APIA Leichhardt
(Home) 13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1 Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1 Melbourne Victory
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1 SD Raiders
Page 1 of 4
St. George City
(Away) 30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
