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APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Olympic

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Lambert Park
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Stewart J.
30' Event
Fong C.
57' Event
Monge F.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between APIA Leichhardt and Sydney Olympic finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APIA Leichhardt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
APIA Leichhardt
33%
Draws
27%
Sydney Olympic
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: APIA Leichhardt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • APIA Leichhardt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans APIA Leichhardt's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • APIA Leichhardt have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 68%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt Sydney Olympic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Olympic
4:1
Aug 31, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt
0:1
May 18, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Olympic
2:0
Jul 17, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Olympic
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fong C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sydney Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzgerald N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 50 / 100
Sydney Olympic 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt Sydney Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick API Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: APIA Leichhardt scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Sydney Olympic has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

APIA Leichhardt has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS Sydney Olympic
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2487925:2931
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918