Sport Picks

Australia

NPL NSW Lambert Park

APIA Leichhardt

2 - 1

Sydney Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Stewart J.

15'

Nakano K.

25'

Gonzalez O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between APIA Leichhardt and Sydney Utd finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APIA Leichhardt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

APIA Leichhardt

30%

Draws

34%

Sydney Utd

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: APIA Leichhardt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

APIA Leichhardt carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on APIA Leichhardt taking it.
Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 20%

Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	APIA Leichhardt	Sydney Utd
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	22	17
Draws	3	4
Losses	4	9
Goals Scored	1.88	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 NPL NSW

APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Jul 20, 2025 NPL NSW

APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Apr 6, 2025 NPL NSW

Sydney Utd vs APIA Leichhardt

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Aug 28, 2024 NPL NSW

APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Jul 21, 2024 NPL NSW

Sydney Utd vs APIA Leichhardt

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gonzalez O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakano K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 36 / 100

Sydney Utd 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

APIA Leichhardt Sydney Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APIA Leichhardt scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

APIA Leichhardt has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sydney Utd has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS Sydney Utd

1.88 Goals Scored 0.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38

100% Over 1.5 25%

63% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	23	17	4	2	45:14	55
2	APIA Leichhardt	23	16	3	4	47:27	51
3	Sydney Utd	23	15	3	5	34:17	48
4	Rockdale Ilinden	23	11	3	9	36:32	36
5	Sutherland Sharks	23	11	2	10	36:30	35
6	Sydney FC U23	24	10	5	9	32:34	35
7	Wollongong	23	9	5	9	26:29	32
8	NWS Spirit	23	9	4	10	27:27	31
9	Manly Utd	24	8	7	9	25:29	31
10	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	23	8	5	10	42:34	29
11	UNSW	23	8	4	11	32:35	28
12	SD Raiders	23	7	5	11	30:39	26
13	St. George City	23	6	7	10	22:37	25
14	Blacktown City	23	5	7	11	30:39	22
15	St George Saints	23	6	1	16	22:39	19
16	Sydney Olympic	23	5	3	15	25:49	18