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APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Lambert Park
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Stewart J.
15' Event
Nakano K.
25' Event
Gonzalez O.

AI Match Summary

APIA Leichhardt host Sydney Utd in the NPL NSW. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: APIA Leichhardt at 1.63 goals for, 1.25 against; Sydney Utd at 0.88 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, APIA Leichhardt have won 1 to Sydney Utd's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring APIA Leichhardt. APIA Leichhardt in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
APIA Leichhardt
44%
Draws
20%
Sydney Utd
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • APIA Leichhardt has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sydney Utd.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL NSW provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 20%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt Sydney Utd
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd
2:2
Apr 6, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs APIA Leichhardt
2:1
Aug 28, 2024 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Utd
1:2
Jul 21, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs APIA Leichhardt
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakano K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 36 / 100
Sydney Utd 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt Sydney Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SYD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APIA Leichhardt scored in 96% of their last 27 games.

Sydney Utd let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

APIA Leichhardt went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sydney Utd lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS Sydney Utd
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715