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Apodaca vs Chilpancingo

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Apodaca Logo

Apodaca

4 - 2
FT
Chilpancingo Logo

Chilpancingo

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Flores H.
19' Event
Jaramillo E.
23' Event
Reyes J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Apodaca and Chilpancingo finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apodaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Apodaca
30%
Draws
47%
Chilpancingo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chilpancingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Apodaca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Apodaca's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 20%
Chilpancingo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apodaca Chilpancingo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Chilpancingo
4:2
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chilpancingo vs Apodaca
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apodaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaramillo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Chilpancingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Alarcon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apodaca 42 / 100
Chilpancingo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apodaca Chilpancingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apodaca found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Chilpancingo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Apodaca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apodaca VS Chilpancingo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apodaca

(Home)
03 May
Apodaca
2 : 4
Deportiva Venados
30 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 1
Apodaca
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1
Inter Playa Del Carmen
23 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Apodaca
11 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 0
Apodaca
Page 1 of 6

Chilpancingo

(Away)
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2
Chilpancingo
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1
Correcaminos 2
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Chilpancingo
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1
Chilpancingo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)