Sport Picks

Stadium Background

APOEL vs Paralimni

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tomas M.
22' Event
Museliani Z.
Penalty Missed
22' Event
Museliani Z.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with APOEL advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
APOEL
35%
Draws
32%
Paralimni
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and APOEL come out ahead of Paralimni on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans APOEL's way, sitting at 80%.
  • APOEL have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor APOEL, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • APOEL have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
APOEL Clean Sheet 68%
Paralimni Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APOEL Paralimni
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.52 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Cyprus Cup
APOEL vs Paralimni
3:2
Jan 3, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Paralimni
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Cyprus League
Paralimni vs APOEL
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Paralimni vs APOEL
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Paralimni
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APOEL Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomas M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Rosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Paralimni Compare

Top Goalscorer Museliani Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solomou D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APOEL 86 / 100
Paralimni 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APOEL Paralimni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APOEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paralimni has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

APOEL scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

APOEL went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APOEL VS Paralimni
0.88 Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

APOEL

(Home)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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Paralimni

(Away)
19 Sept
Paralimni
0 : 0
Halkanoras
12 Sept
Anagennisi Derynia
0 : 3
Paralimni
14 Aug
Paralimni
2 : 3
Akritas Chloraka
08 Aug
Paralimni
0 : 1
Nea Salamis
17 May
Krasava
0 : 0
Paralimni
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou 1
Apollon Limassol 5
Karmiotissa 1
Anorthosis 3
ASIL Lysi 0
Ol. Nicosia 2
Omonia Aradippou 4
Ayia Napa 0
APOEL 5
AEZ Zakakiou 0
Achyronas-Onisilos 0
Apea Akrotiriou 2
Kitiou 0
Achnas 4
Paralimni 2
Halkanoras 0
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK Larnaca -
Aris Limassol 2
Omonia 29th May 1
Ethnikos Latsion 1
AEL Limassol 2
Krasava 1
Nea Salamis 2
TBD -
Digenis Akritas -
Pafos -
TBD -
Akritas Chloraka 5
Doxa 2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol 2
Anorthosis 0
Ol. Nicosia 3
Omonia Aradippou 4
APOEL 1
Apea Akrotiriou 0
Achnas 1
Paralimni 2
Omonia 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Aris Limassol 0
AEL Limassol 1
Nea Salamis 2
Digenis Akritas 3
Pafos 2
Akritas Chloraka 1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol 3
Omonia Aradippou 2
APOEL 3
Paralimni 2
Omonia 1
AEL Limassol 2
Digenis Akritas 0
Pafos 3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol 4
APOEL 2
AEL Limassol 2
Pafos 5
Final
Apollon Limassol 0
Pafos 2