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APOEL vs Paralimni

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup GSP Stadium, Nicosia
APOEL Logo

APOEL

3 - 2
FT
Paralimni Logo

Paralimni

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tomas M.
22' Event
Museliani Z.
Penalty Missed
22' Event
Museliani Z.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with APOEL advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
APOEL
39%
Draws
31%
Paralimni
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and APOEL come out ahead of Paralimni on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • APOEL have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor APOEL, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • APOEL have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
APOEL Clean Sheet 68%
Paralimni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APOEL Paralimni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 1.25 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Cyprus Cup
APOEL vs Paralimni
3:2
Jan 3, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Paralimni
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Cyprus League
Paralimni vs APOEL
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Paralimni vs APOEL
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Paralimni
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APOEL Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomas M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Rosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Paralimni Compare

Top Goalscorer Museliani Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solomou D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APOEL 41 / 100
Paralimni 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APOEL Paralimni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paralimni has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

APOEL scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Paralimni lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APOEL VS Paralimni
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.86
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

APOEL

(Home)
22 May
Pafos
2 : 0
APOEL
16 May
APOEL
0 : 3
Omonia
10 May
Apollon Limassol
2 : 0
APOEL
06 May
Aris Limassol
1 : 0
APOEL
03 May
APOEL
1 : 0
AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 6

Paralimni

(Away)
17 May
Krasava
0 : 0
Paralimni
09 May
Paralimni
1 : 3
Achnas
02 May
Anorthosis
2 : 0
Paralimni
25 Apr
Paralimni
1 : 2
Akritas Chloraka
17 Apr
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Paralimni
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou1
Apollon Limassol5
Karmiotissa1
Anorthosis3
ASIL Lysi0
Ol. Nicosia2
Omonia Aradippou4
Ayia Napa0
APOEL5
AEZ Zakakiou0
Achyronas-Onisilos0
Apea Akrotiriou2
Kitiou0
Achnas4
Paralimni2
Halkanoras0
Omonia-
TBD-
TBD-
AEK Larnaca-
Aris Limassol2
Omonia 29th May1
Ethnikos Latsion1
AEL Limassol2
Krasava1
Nea Salamis2
TBD-
Digenis Akritas-
Pafos-
TBD-
Akritas Chloraka5
Doxa2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol2
Anorthosis0
Ol. Nicosia3
Omonia Aradippou4
APOEL1
Apea Akrotiriou0
Achnas1
Paralimni2
Omonia2
AEK Larnaca1
Aris Limassol0
AEL Limassol1
Nea Salamis2
Digenis Akritas3
Pafos2
Akritas Chloraka1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol3
Omonia Aradippou2
APOEL3
Paralimni2
Omonia1
AEL Limassol2
Digenis Akritas0
Pafos3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol4
APOEL2
AEL Limassol2
Pafos5
Final
Apollon Limassol0
Pafos2