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Apollon Kalamaria vs Evosmou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Kalamaria in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Kalamaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Apollon Kalamaria
20%
Draws
16%
Evosmou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apollon Kalamaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Apollon Kalamaria lately — more wins on the board than Evosmou.
  • Apollon Kalamaria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Apollon Kalamaria have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Apollon Kalamaria Clean Sheet 20%
Evosmou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Kalamaria Evosmou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 25
Goals Scored 1.8 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.53 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.27 0.70
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Apollon Kalamaria vs Evosmou
5:0
Nov 2, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Evosmou vs Apollon Kalamaria
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Apollon Kalamaria vs Evosmou
4:0
Nov 3, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Evosmou vs Apollon Kalamaria
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalamaria 85 / 100
Evosmou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Kalamaria Evosmou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Kalamaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Evosmou let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Apollon Kalamaria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Evosmou lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalamaria VS Evosmou
1.75 Goals Scored 0.4
1 Goals Conceded 2.8
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Kalamaria

(Home)
20 Sept
Asteras Tripolis B
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
14 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
19 Aug
Chrisoupolis
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
17 May
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Panthrakikos
Page 1 of 6

Evosmou

(Away)
08 Apr
Evosmou
0 : 3
Eordaikos
05 Apr
Evosmou
2 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
01 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
2 : 0
Evosmou
28 Mar
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Evosmou
22 Mar
Evosmou
0 : 5
Kozani FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)